Pubdate: Tue, 03 Nov 2015
Source: Sun-Sentinel (Fort Lauderdale, FL)
Copyright: 2015 Sun-Sentinel Company
Contact: http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sfl-letters-to-the-editor-htmlstory.html
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Details: http://www.mapinc.org/media/159
Authors: Evan Halper and Kurtis Lee, Tribune Newspapers

ARE CAMPAIGNS GOING TO POT?

How Attitudes on Marijuana Could Shape 2016 Race

WASHINGTON - Pot is very much on the minds of voters, with millions 
poised to decide whether to legalize it. That raises a tantalizing 
question for presidential candidates: Is there political opportunity 
in the wind?

Some are beginning to think there is.

The latest sign was the full-throated call last week by Sen. Bernie 
Sanders to end federal prohibition.

With that one move, the candidate for the Democratic presidential 
nomination plunged into uncharted territory - and, arguably, so did 
the presidential race.

Never before has a contender with so much to lose so unequivocally 
suggested that smoking a joint should be viewed the same as drinking 
a beer, at least in the eyes of the law.

The move could give the Vermont senator a much-needed boost in some 
primary states, especially in the West.

Some pollsters and strategists are surprised it has taken this long 
for a leading candidate to promote legalization this forcefully.

"Politicians are terrible at anything new," said Celinda Lake, a 
Washington political strategist who has worked on pot initiatives. 
"They always miss the trends where voters are ahead of them."

Lake said voter opinion is shifting on marijuana as rapidly as it did 
on same-sex marriage, another issue where lawmakers struggled to keep 
pace with evolving public attitudes.

A new Gallup poll found that 58 percent of voters said marijuana 
should be legalized, suggesting there is not a lot of risk in 
embracing it. More important, the pot vote draws a demographic highly 
coveted by campaign operatives: It's young, diverse and up for grabs.

But there may be danger in doubling down.

"It can easily be turned against them," said Kevin Sabet, president 
of Smart Approaches to Marijuana, an anti-legalization group.

What happens, he asked, when a pro-pot candidate is confronted at a 
town hall by the parent of a child who had a "psychotic episode" 
after consuming a pot lollipop? "How do you defend against that?"

The candidates are grappling with legalization at the same time that 
drug abuse is a prominent issue in the primaries, with a heroin 
epidemic a key concern of voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first 
two states to hold contests.

GOP contender Carly Fiorina has spoken emotionally about losing her 
stepdaughter to addiction.

And there is disagreement among strategists about how rapidly public 
opinion has shifted in the voting groups that count most in a closely 
contested election, such as Latinos and older women.

"There are too many battleground states where it is still 
controversial," said Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster.

Sanders framed his language carefully.

"Too many Americans have seen their lives destroyed because they have 
criminal records as a result of marijuana use," he said at George 
Mason University in Virginia last week. "That's wrong. That has got to change."

He said he would take marijuana off the federal government's list of 
illegal drugs, leaving states free to regulate it the way they do 
alcohol and tobacco.

Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, a Republican, has taken a similar plunge, 
but stakes are higher for the more popular Sanders.

Hillary Rodham Clinton has told small audiences in the pot havens of 
Oregon and Colorado that marijuana businesses in states where it is 
legal need relief from federal restrictions that can make it 
impossible for them to operate.

Yet, her campaign refused to accept a donation from the cannabis 
industry's trade group, and in the first Democratic debate she took a 
"wait and see" position.

Some Republicans, including New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Ohio 
Gov. John Kasich, aggressively oppose legalization. Christie, a 
former federal prosecutor, has taken the hardest line, vowing a crackdown.

Those bullish on the boost that pot can provide said the landscape 
also will be dramatically different in 2016, a presidential election 
year, when turnout is expected to be younger and more diverse.

Legalization for recreational use is expected to be on the ballot in 
Arizona, California, Maine, Massachusetts and Nevada.

The state being watched most now, though, is Ohio. Voters in that 
battleground state will decide on a legalization measure Tuesday.

Candidates will closely monitor the outcome.

"This is the gay marriage issue of the day," said John Morgan, an 
Orlando, Fla., trial lawyer, who spent more than $4 million of his 
money on the Florida medical pot measure. It fell short of meeting 
the state's high threshold of 60 percent for an initiative to pass.

Morgan is bankrolling another measure for next year.

Evan Halper reported from Washington and Kurtis Lee from Los Angeles.
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MAP posted-by: Jay Bergstrom